Hurricane News Archives
Disturbance Could Bring Torrential Rainfall to Gulf Coast
September 1st, 2011
A tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to slowly develop into a relatively weak tropical cyclone over the next couple days as it moves northward.
This area of disturbed weather should be monitored very closely over the next week because it could bring some serious rainfall to areas anywhere from Texas to Florida. Stay tuned for more updates.
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With Irene Gone, Focus Shifts to New Disturbance in Atlantic Ocean
August 29th, 2011
Hurricane Irene made its way up the U.S. east coast this past weekend, causing extensive damage along the coast -- despite weakening to a weak hurricane.
With Irene out of the picture now, all eyes turn to the eastern Atlantic Ocean, where Tropical Depression #12 has developed off the western African coast. This disturbance is projected to develop into a tropical cyclone and will need to be monitored over the next week.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Irene Serious Threat to U.S. East Coast
August 25th, 2011
Hurricane Irene is a massive Category 3 storm now and could strengthen even more before making landfall near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. All residents along the U.S. east coast should monitor this storm closely and prepare appropriately as it is expected to move up the entire coast all the way through New England.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Irene Strengthening -- Could Affect SE U.S.
August 22nd, 2011
Hurricane Irene moved over Puerto Rico last night and continues to move west-northwest towards the Bahamas.
Irene is expected to strengthen as it continues to move towards the U.S. All residents along the eastern U.S. coast should monitor this storm closely. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Active as Peak of Hurricane Season Approaches
August 16th, 2011
Although there are currently no hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, the tropics are fairly active at the moment as we approach the peak of hurricane season. This particular disturbance in the southeast Caribbean Sea could develop into a named storm, but it is not expected to affect the U.S.
Elsewhere, there are a couple other areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic that will need to be monitored over the next week or two. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Active as Peak of Hurricane Season Approaches
August 16th, 2011
Although there are currently no hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, the tropics are fairly active at the moment as we approach the peak of hurricane season. This particular disturbance in the southeast Caribbean Sea could develop into a named storm, but it is not expected to affect the U.S.
Elsewhere, there are a couple other areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic that will need to be monitored over the next week or two. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Remnants of Emily Likely to Re-strengthen
August 5th, 2011
The remnants of Tropical Storm Emily are predicted to re-organize as a tropical storm over the next couple days, but the storm is still expected to move north just east of the U.S. coast.
This is not considered to be a major threat right now. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Emily Moving West-Northwest Towards Hispaniola
August 2nd, 2011
Tropical Storm Emily formed yesterday afternoon and is still a weak tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. Right now, Emily is expected to affect Puerto Rico and then the island of Hispaniola.
Hispaniola, a very mountainous island, may hinder the development of Emily. Right now, Emily is expected to either affect Florida, or skirt up the east coast missing the U.S. entirely.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Don Nearing Landfall
July 29th, 2011
Tropical Storm Don now has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph as it continues to approach the south Texas coast. Landfall is expected either late tonight or early tomorrow morning.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Don Heading Towards Texas Coast
July 28th, 2011
Tropical Storm Don has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and is moving west-northwest at 15 mph. Don is expected to make landfall sometime early Saturday morning on the south Texas coast.
Otherwise, there are a couple other tropical waves in the Atlantic Basin worth monitoring.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Wave in Caribbean Looking Healthier
June 28th, 2011
A tropical wave that has been struggling to stay relevant in the Caribbean Sea has finally started to get its act together just south of Cuba and could develop into a tropical storm sometime over the next couple days.
If development occurs, this storm is expected to take a west-northwesterly route and make landfall near the Mexico-Texas border. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Bret Churns off Florida Coast
July 18th, 2011
Tropical Storm Bret formed yesterday just north of the Bahamas and is expected to strengthen slightly over the next couple days as it moves northeast into the Atlantic Ocean. Bret currently has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph, but the storm is not expected to affect the U.S. mainland.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Remain Quiet at the Moment
July 11th, 2011
The tropics are currently fairly quiet for the most part. Although there are a couple tropical waves in the Atlantic Basin, neither is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone anytime soon.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Arlene Makes Landfall
June 30th, 2011
Tropical Storm Arlene made landfall this morning as a strong tropical storm with sustained winds of 65 mph. This system will bring a lot of rain to Mexico and parts of extreme southern Texas.
Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Storm Arlene Forms in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico
June 29th, 2011
Tropical Storm Arlene, the first named storm of the 2011 hurricane season, has officially formed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Arlene has winds of 50 mph and is moving west. The storm is expected to gain a little more strength, possibly becoming a weak hurricane, before making landfall in Mexico late tonight or early tomorrow morning.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Disturbance in Gulf Becoming Better Organized
June 28th, 2011
The area of disturbed weather that we have been monitoring the past few days has finally crossed the Yucatan Peninsula and entered the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
There is a moderate chance that this disturbance will develop into the first named storm of the hurricane season, but it is expected to move west and make landfall south of the Texas border near Tampico, Mexico. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics are Heating up
June 24th, 2011
A tropical wave in the southwestern Carbibbean Sea has gained momentum and could be our first named storm by the middle of the week next week. However, if development does occur, this disturbance is not projected to make landfall on the United States coast.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Atlantic Basin Remains Quiet
June 22nd, 2011
The Atlantic Basin remains quiet as we enter the third week of hurricane season without one named storm yet. Forecasters still expect an active season, so now is the time to get your plan in place.
Stay tuned for more from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Disturbance Moving into the Atlantic Ocean
June 10th, 2011
The area of concern in the Caribbean Sea has moved northeast and is heading towards the Atlantic Ocean. There is a slight chance that this will develop into a tropical cyclone, but this should not affect the continental U.S.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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Disturbance in Caribbean Brewing
June 6th, 2011
A large area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean Sea is slowly trying to develop and may become the first named storm of this year's hurricane season.
Forecasters are currently unsure which direction this system will go, but many are predicting this will head northeast towards the general area of the Bahamas.
Stay tuned for more updates.
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2011 Hurricane Season Starts Today
June 1st, 2011
Today is the first day of the 2011 hurricane season. A busy season is expected, so now is the time to have a plan in place.
Not even a full day into the official season, we already have some action in the tropics. A disturbance in the Caribbean is slowly brewing and could move northward towards the Gulf of Mexico in the next week or so. Also, a small disturbance off the cost of northeastern Florida is moving west-southwest and should soon move into the Gulf of Mexico. No development is currently expected. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Season Ends Today
November 30th, 2010
Today is the last day of hurricane season. Despite being the third most active year on record, this marks the fifth straight year that the United States has not been directly struck by a major hurricane.
Stay tuned for more info from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Hurricane Tomas Lashes Haiti
November 5th, 2010
Hurricane Tomas is back to Category 1 strength as it is now passing just to the west of Haiti. Torrential rain, flooding, and landslides are expected.
Elsewhere, the Gulf of Mexico is clear and is expected to stay that way. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Still Very Active; Gulf of Mexico Stays Quiet
October 29th, 2010
Tropical Storm Shary developed in the mid-Atlantic Ocean yesterday, and it could affect Bermuda today as it moves northeast and brushes by the island's east coast. No significant intensification is projected, and the weak storm should pass the island relatively quickly.
Elsewhere, there is a strong tropical wave southeast of the Windward Islands that is expected to develop into our next named storm. This area of disturbed weather should affect parts of the Carribean in the short-term forecast. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Storm Brewing in Carribean Not Expected to Threaten Northern Gulf
October 11th, 2010
The area of low pressure in the picture above is slowly developing off the Honduran coast in the western Carribean and should be Tropical Stom Paula within the next 12-24 hours. This disturbance is moving towards the north-northwest, but there is still a lot of uncertainty surrounding its future path. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Matt Churning Towards Central America
September 24th, 2010
Tropical Storm Matt continues to gain strength as it approaches the Central American coast. Weakening is expected once it goes over land; however, this storm should bring torrential rainfall and could cause serious flooding to the affected areas.
It is unclear as to where Matt's remnants will go. Some models have the storm dissipating over land; others have Matt moving back into the Carribean and eventually into the Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Igor Barrelling Towards Bermuda
September 14th, 2010
Hurricane Igor is now a powerful Category 4 storm in the mid-Atlantic Ocean. Igor is expected to continue moving west-northwest and could significantly affect Bermuda in a few days. The image above is of Igor yesterday.
Elsewhere, the disturbance in the Carribean still has a favorable chance to develop but is expected to continue moving west and not enter the Gulf of Mexico. In the far east Atlantic, Hurricane Julia continues to strengthen. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Hermine Slams South Texas
September 7th, 2010
Tropical Storm Hermine made landfall late last night over northern Mexico and has now moved north into Texas. Texas can expect to see torrential rains and lots of flooding from Hermine over the next couple days.
Elsewhere, the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston are not expected to regenerate at this moment, and there are no other areas of disturbed weather to discuss right now other than a couple weak tropical waves in the far Atlantic. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Still Rumbling
September 10th, 2010
Tropical Storm Igor has been downgraded to a tropical depression, but it is projected to restregthen, possibly into a hurricane. Either way, Igor is in the far Atlantic, and it is not projected to be a threat to the U.S. mainland.
Elsewhere, there is an area of disturbed weather in the southeastern Carribean Sea that has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. This area needs to be monitored as some models have it moving into the Gulf. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Storm Hermine Slams South Texas
September 7th, 2010
Tropical Storm Hermine made landfall late last night over northern Mexico and has now moved north into Texas. Texas can expect to see torrential rains and lots of flooding from Hermine over the next couple days.
Elsewhere, the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston are not expected to regenerate at this moment, and there are no other areas of disturbed weather to discuss right now other than a couple weak tropical waves in the far Atlantic. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Atlantic Basin Bustling: Hurricane Earl May Brush East Coast
August 31st, 2010
Hurricane Earl is now a powerful Category 4 storm located just north of the Dominican Republic. The dangerous storm is expected to move north/northwest and then curve to the northeast so that it parallels the east coast of the United States. This is a very dangerous storm, and it should be monitored very closely by those on the east coast.
Tropical Storm Fiona is a weak tropical storm that is moving very quickly to the west/northwest at about 24 mph. Fiona is expected to stay weak, but there is still a bit of uncertainty as to where she will go. Some models take the storm on a similar path as Earl's; others have Fiona drifting to the west. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Extremely Active as we Approach Peak of Season
August 26th, 2010
Hurricane Danielle is now a powerful Category 2 hurricane and is expected to strengthen even more; however, Danielle is expected to curve towards the northeast and avoid Bermuda.
Right behind Danielle is Tropical Storm Earl. Earl is a weak system right now, but strengthening is expected to occur as it moves westward. Finally, behind Earl there is a new tropical wave that is expected to slowly develop. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Danielle Expected to Strengthen; Could Sideswipe Bermuda
August 25th, 2010
Hurricane Danielle is once again a hurricane and is expected to continue to strengthen as it moves quickly to the west-northwest at about 17 mph. The storm is still expected to turn north and stay out to sea, but it could very well affect Bermuda.
Elsewhere, there is another system getting organized behind Danielle, and this area of disturbed weather is expected to take a similar path as Danielle has. Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Storm Danielle Expected to Become Strong Hurricane
August 23rd, 2010
Tropical Storm Danielle is now a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. The storm is becoming well organized and is expected to become a hurricane sometime in the next day or so.
Danielle is moving west-northwest and is expected to curve to the north and avoid the U.S. entirely. Bermuda could feel some effects of the storm depending on its path. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Nothing to Worry About in the Atlantic Basin
August 19th, 2010
The tropics are currently very calm. There are no active systems in the Atlantic Basin, and there is nothing projected to develop anytime soon.
Regardless of the inactivity, experts are still predicting this hurricane season to be a busier than average season. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Northern Gulf Expecting Torrential Rainfall
August 16th, 2010
The storm formerly known as Tropical Depression #5 has re-emerged over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and is expected to eventually start moving west towards southeast Louisiana.
Some intensification is possible--maybe even to tropical storm status--but flooding rains are expected to be the real threat with this system. Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Depression #5 Moving Towards Northern Gulf
August 11th, 2010
Tropical Depression #5 is slowly moving towards the Louisiana/Mississippi border. The disturbance could become Tropical Storm Danielle by the time it makes landfall.
Keep an eye on this system; torrential rainfall is expected.
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Tropics Becoming Active Again
August 10th, 2010
An area of low pressure in the southeast Gulf of Mexico is becoming better organized right now and could be classified as a Tropical Depression by the end of the day today or early tomorrow.
This area of disturbed weather should continue to intensify over the next day or two as it moves north-northwest towards the northern Gulf of Mexico, but it is currently not expected to become a hurricane. Anyone living in the Louisiana/Mississippi corridor should keep a watchful eye on this disturbance. Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Storm Colin Not Expected to be Major Threat
August 3rd, 2010
Tropical Storm Colin is racing through the Atlantic Ocean at 35 mph in a west-northwest direction.
This storm is not expected to intensify and could very well dissipate as it continues on its current path. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Rigorous Tropical Wave Moving Across Atlantic Ocean
July 28th, 2010
The tropics are fairly quiet for the time being. There is nothing to worry about right now in the Gulf of Mexico or Carribean Sea; however, there is a tropical wave in the far Atlantic that is worth keeping an eye on.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropics Calm Again for Now
July 26th, 2010
The storm formerly known as Bonnie moved into the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend and dissipated as it made landfall near southeast Louisiana.
Otherwise, the tropics are fairly calm today with nothing projected to develop over the next couple days. Stay tuned for more as we continue to approach the busy period of hurricane season.
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Tropical Storm Bonnie Racing through South Florida towards Northern Gulf
July 23rd, 2010
With sustained winds of 40 mph, Tropical Storm Bonnie is currently moving west-northwest through south Florida at nearly 18 mph.
Bonnie is not expected to intensify much more, but it will bring heavy rain and gusty winds wherever it makes landfall on the northern Gulf Coast.
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Tropical Depression 3 Slowly Getting Organized; Headed for Northern Gulf
July 22nd, 2010
Tropical Depression 3 is slowly gaining strength as it continues to move west-northwest. Current models have this storm landing somewhere near the southeastern Louisiana coast, but they do not predict this system to strengthen past tropical storm status.
Keep a close eye on this storm. Stay tuned.
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Disturbance Currently Fighting off Dry Air; Still Expected to Develop
July 21st, 2010
The disturbance located near Puerto Rico is fighting off dry air as it continues to move west-northwest. This dry air has prevented the system from already developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm; however, the unfavorable conditions for development are not expected to last much longer.
There is still a high chance for development. Keep an eye on this system because there is a chance it could enter the Gulf of Mexico a few days from now. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Starting to Rumble Again
July 19th, 2010
While the tropics have been pretty calm over the past couple weeks, it appears as if there may some activity on the horizon. Right now, experts are analyzing two areas of disturbed weather (each is circled in the image above). Both areas have about a 10-20% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next two days.
Both tropical waves are moving west-northwest, but the one that is located just north of Puerto Rico looks much more ominous at this time. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Depression #2 Making Landfall Today
July 8th, 2010
Tropical Depression #2 should be moving inland soon near Brownsville, Texas. This system is expected to drench the southern Texas/northern Mexico region.
Southeast Louisiana is in the clear thanks to an area of high pressure that moved into our area yesterday. Elsewhere, the tropics are relatively calm for the time being. Stay tuned for more info..
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Tropics in a Frenzy
July 6th, 2010
The tropics are well and alive this morning. The area of low pressure in the northern Gulf we had been monitoring for the past few days finally moved over Louisiana last night, keeping it from developing into anything serious.
More importantly though, an area of disturbed weather in the northwestern Carribbean Sea will be entering the Gulf of Mexico today, and this system has the potential to develop into Tropical Storm Bonnie. Most projections have this storm moving northwest towards Texas, but that could change. Stay tuned for more.
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New Area of Low Pressure Developing in Gulf of Mexico
July 2nd, 2010
An area of low pressure has developed in the northeast Gulf of Mexico and has a slight chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next couple days. This area of disturbed weather is expected to move in a westerly direction and could bring heavy rain to parts of the northern Gulf Coast.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Alex Makes Landfall in Northern Mexico
July 1st, 2010
Alex, now a Tropical Storm, made landfall as a Category 2 hurricane last night in northern Mexico near the border. Alex's wind speeds will continue to decrease as the storm weakens, but, the remains of the system are still expected to continue to produce large amounts of rain for Mexico, Texas, and the northern Gulf Coast.
Otherwise, the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet right now. Stay tuned for more info.
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Nearly a Hurricane, Alex Heading Towards Texas/Mexico Border
June 29th, 2010
Tropical Storm Alex is expected to be upgraded to a hurricane sometime tonight as it continues moving towards a northern Mexico/southern Texas landfall.
Outer bands will continue to affect southeast Louisiana for at least the next day or so. Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Storm Alex Strengthens as it Enters Gulf
June 28th, 2010
Tropical Storm Alex is currently headed northwest and is expected to strengthen fairly significantly as it moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Landfall is expected to occur around southern Texas near the Mexican border, but that could change over the next couple days.
While southeast Louisiana is not expected to be significantly affected by Alex, outer bands of the storm are expected to affect us, giving us the possibility for rain and gusty winds. Stay tuned for more.
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Tropical Wave Becoming Better Organized
June 23rd, 2010
While it is still far out in the Carribbean Sea, the tropical wave shown in the image above is starting to become better organized as it continues to move in a west-northwest direction.
This system is entering some very warm waters, and conditions appear to be ripe for development. Keep a close eye on this disturbance, and stay tuned for more from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Storm Brewing in Carribbean
June 21st, 2010
A new area of disturbed weather, located in the eastern Carribbean, is slowly becoming more organized as it is encountering conditions that are fairly conducive for further development.
Keep an eye on this tropical wave as it is currently projected to move west-northwest in the general direction of the Yucatan Peninsula. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Disturbance Less Likely to Develop
June 15th, 2010
The disturbance in the central Atlantic that, yesterday, seemed poised to become our first named storm of the year, appears to have weakened and entered an environment less conducive for development.
It is not expected to strengthen over the next couple days, but keep an eye on it as it continues to move west-northwest, possibly towards the Bahamas. Stay tuned for more.
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Disturbed Area in Atlantic Could Develop
June 14th, 2010
An area of disturbed weather in the Central Atlantic is likely to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm sometime in the next two days or so. This disturbance is projected to continue moving in a west-northwesterly direction as it continues to become more organized.
Keep an eye on this area as this may be our first named storm of the season. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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What to Expect in June
June 2nd, 2010
June is typically a very quiet month of hurricane season, but since this year is expected to be a very busy season--along with the ongoing massive oil spill--here is some good background information on June hurricanes in the past and what could be in store for us over the next month.
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Development not Expected in Western Carribbean
June 2nd, 2010
As seen in the image above, there is not much to worry about anytime soon in terms of tropical development in the Carribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned for more.
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Hurricane Season Officially Begins Today; Remains of Agatha Lingering in Western Carribean
June 1st, 2010
Today officially marks the first day of the 2010 hurricane season. Expected to be a very busy season, the remains of Tropical Storm Agatha are lingering in the western Carribbean Sea and appear headed in an east-northeast direction.
Strengthening is not projected at this point, but the system is still fairly organized (see image), so that could change. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin Quiet Again
May 26th, 2010
The area of disturbed weather that had the chance of developing into a tropical cyclone yesterday has dissipated and is no longer a threat to the eastern U.S. seaboard. At worst, this weather will bring some rain and gusty winds to parts of the U.S. east coast.
In other news, there are new predictions out there that anticipate a busier than normal hurricane season. While this is a fairly common, almost annual occurrence, the eastern and northeastern regions of the U.S. are the areas that are especially expected to see an increase in activity this hurricane season.
Here is an interesting article explaining the increased prognosis. Stay tuned for more from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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First Action of the Year in the Atlantic Basin
May 24th, 2010
The 2010 hurricane season has not even officially begun, and we already have the first activity in the Atlantic Basin. While this is nothing to be too concerned about, it is still worth keeping an eye on because it is headed north-northwest and could affect the eastern U.S. seaboard.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Hurricane Season Officially Over
November 30th, 2009
The 2009 hurricane season officially ends today. There are currently no areas of disturbed weather anywhere in the Atlantic Basin; it is likely that we will not see another cyclone develop until the 2010 hurricane season.
Stayed tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Ida Makes Landfall as a Tropical Storm
November 9th, 2009
Tropical Storm Ida finally made landfall near Dauphin Island, Alabama this morning. The slow-moving storm has finally made its projected turn to the east, and it should continue in this general direction until it dies out.
Elsewhere, there is an area of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles north-northeast of the Leeward Islands. The chance for development is very low, but we will keep you posted if anything spins up. Stay tuned.
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Hurricane Ida Bearing Down on Gulf Coast
November 9th, 2009
Packing maximum sustained winds of 80 mph, Hurricane Ida is heading in a northerly direction and will make landfall late tonight near Mobile, AL. While avoiding the brunt of the storm, southeast Louisiana is still under a Tropical Storm Warning and will experience gusty winds, heavy rains, high seas, and possible flooding. Ida will likely weaken to a tropical storm before making landfall.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team as we continue to monitor this year's first November hurricane.
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Tropical Depression Ida Poised to Reemerge Over Water
November 6th, 2009
As expected, Ida has weakened to tropical depression status as it crossed over land last night. Ida will reemerge over water today and is expected to regain strength moving towards Cancun.
Keep an eye on Ida as it will enter the Gulf of Mexico by the beginning of next week. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Ida is First November Hurricane of 2009 Season
November 5th, 2009
Ida has offically been upgraded to a hurricane--our first of November. Maximum sustained winds are now at 75 mph, as it moves northwest at 6 mph. Ida will make landfall today in Nicaragua, will most likely weaken considerably, and then will re-strengthen as it heads back over sea.
Ida will probably enter the Gulf of Mexico in a few days, so keep a watchful eye on this storm. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Ida Gaining Strength in the Carribean
November 4th, 2009
Tropical Storm Ida has officially formed in the southwestern Carribean Sea. Ida now has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and is moving very slowly towards Nicaragua.
Ida will lose strength as it goes over land but is projected to restrengthen as it goes back over water. Additionally, there is a good chance Ida will move into the Gulf of Mexico.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Depression #11 Develops in Carribean Sea
November 4th, 2009
Tropical Depression #11 has formed in the southwestern Carribean Sea this morning and is expected to be upgraded to tropical storm status sometime in the next twenty-four hours. The storm is expected to remain fairly stationary for the next day or so and eventually move north.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Area of Low Pressure Forms in Carribean
November 3rd, 2009
An area of low pressure developed overnight in the southwestern Carribean Sea just to the east of Costa Rica. Development is a possibility as this area of weather is projected to remain fairly stationary over the next couple days.
Otherwise, the tropics are fairly quiet. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin Still Showing Signs of Life
November 2nd, 2009
An area of disturbed weather with the potential for development is located about 300 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. This area of weather is moving north and will eventually turn to the northeast; therefore, while there is a medium chance for tropical development now, conditions will become less conducive for development as this system moves farther north.
Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet; there is an area of convection in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, but development is not projected at this point.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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No Threat in Sight
October 27th, 2009
The radar is for the most part clear this morning over the Atlantic Basin. With another cold front sweeping through the southeast U.S. right now, the chance that a storm spins up and heads our way is very small; cold fronts tend to act as defense-shields as they tend to deflect oncoming storms.
At this point the highest probability of a storm spinning up would be from the remnants of one of these cold fronts sitting over the Gulf of Mexico or just off the U.S. East Coast. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin Quiet for Time Being
October 26th, 2009
The Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet right now. Nothing is projected to develop at this point in time, but there is an area of convection in the Gulf of Mexico--associated with the remnants of a cold front--worth monitoring.
With the waters still as warm as they are, the possibility that something spins up is still very possible. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Lingering System in Carribbean Sea not Expected to Develop
October 23rd, 2009
The two areas of disturbed weather that we have been monitoring this week have gradually morphed into one large area of unsettled weather that has the slight possibility of developing into a tropical cyclone.
Despite the cold fronts that have been coming through, the chance something develops will always be there because the waters in the Atlantic Basin are still very high. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropics Still Brewing
October 22th, 2009
The Atlantic Basin is fairly calm today as we approach the final week of October; however, there are a couple areas to keep a watchful eye on. The areas of disturbed weather that warrant monitoring are both remnants of a stalled cold front: one area is located in the southwestern Carribean; the other is located just east of the Bahamas.
Both areas have been virtually stationary the past couple days, but each is expected to drift towards the Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Alert Level Elevated to "Cautious;" Hurricane Season not Over Yet
October 20th, 2009
An area of disturbed weather located in the southwestern Carribbean Sea has the potential to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves northward paralleling the Central American coast.
In response to this tropical activity, the Bellwether Alert Level has been re-elevated to "Cautious," and the Bellwether Hurricane Team will continue to monitor this area closely. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Bellwether Lowers Alert Level to "Low"
October 15th, 2009
With the first real cold front of the year making its way through the area sometime tonight, the Bellwether Hurricane Team is lowering it's offical alert level to "low." The chances that a tropical system develops and makes its way into the Gulf of Mexico are slim to none; however, if anything does change, we will be the first to let you know.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Hurricane Season Appears to be Winding Down
October 13th, 2009
As the radar indicates this morning, there is absolutely nothing to worry about in the Atlantic Basin. Conditions remains very unfavorable for any kind of cyclonic development in the tropics, and this pattern of inactivity will most likely continue throughout the rest of this year's hurricane season.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin Calm As Ever
October 12th, 2009
The Atlantic Basin is for the most part eerily calm. While there is still officially well over a month and a half left in the hurricane season, it appears as if this hurricane season is winding down to an early finish.
At this moment the only area of weather worth watching is a small area of disturbed weather in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Development is not projected at the moment, but stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Henri has Dissipated; Atlantic Basin Very Quiet
October 9th, 2009
The storm formerly known as Henri has dissipated and is now just a remnant low. This area is not expected to redevelop, but keep an eye on it as it moves west into the Gulf of Mexico.
In the southeast Carribean Sea, there is another area of disturbed weather, but development is not expected. Right now, it is interacting with northern Venezuela, bringing rain and winds to some areas, but, more importantly, hindering development.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Henri now a Tropical Depression; Projected to move into Gulf of Mexico
October 8th, 2009
Henri has officially weakened to tropical depression status and is not expected to gain strength anytime soon; however, whatever is left of Henri several days from now is projected to enter the Gulf of Mexico.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, there is another area of disturbed weather several hundred miles south of Henri that has a low potential for development. We will continue to monitor this disturbance as it moves west-northwest.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Henri Strengthens Overnight
October 7th, 2009
Tropical Storm Henri looks much more organized this morning as it continues to move in a west-northwest direction at about 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds are now at 50 mph, but the storm is not projected to gain too much more strength. Keep an eye on Henri over the next few days.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, there is a new disturbance, located several hundred miles to the southeast of Henri, that could develop into a tropical cyclone over the next few days.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Grace Long Gone; Tropical Storm Henri forms in Mid-Atlantic
October 6th, 2009
The remnants of Tropical Storm Grace have moved on to Ireland and the surrounding British Isles. The final advisory for Grace was issued late last night.
Otherwise, the area of disturbed weather in the mid-Atlantic has officially formed into Tropical Storm Henri as it continues to move northwest around 18 mph.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Grace Racing Towards British Isles
October 5th, 2009
Tropical Storm Grace is located several hundred miles west-northwest of Portugal in the far east Atlantic Ocean. Grace is of no threat to anyone near North America as she is racing towards the northeast at around 30 mph, eventually expected to make landfall somewhere near Ireland and the U.K.
Otherwise, there is a large area of disturbed weather in the mid-Atlantic; keep an eye on this area as it could develop into something over the next couple days. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Disturbance in Atlantic Could Develop
September 25th, 2009
Just west of the Cape Verde Islands, there is an area of disturbed weather that has a high chance of developing into a new named storm. If development does occur, this system is expected to move north-northwest out of harm's way--for the time being.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, there is a large area of disturbed weather coming off the coast of Africa. Keep an eye on this disturbance, and stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Continues Pattern of Inactivity
September 24th, 2009
There is nothing in the Atlantic worth paying much attention to at this current time. There is a tropical wave just west of the Cape Verde Islands, but development is not likely in the near future. This has been one of the quietest Septembers in recent memory. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Minimal Activity in Atlantic Basin
September 23nd, 2009
The Atlantic Ocean remains relatively quiet today. The remnants of the storm formerly known as Fred will bring some coastal showers to Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas.
Otherwise, there are a few areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Basin worth keeping an eye on; however, none of these areas are expected to develop into anything in the near future. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Calm as Can Be
September 22nd, 2009
The remnants of the storm formerly known as Fred have once again been weakened by strong wind shear. The remnants are now located 200-300 miles off the Florida/Georgia coast and are expected to eventually make landfall somewhere along the U.S. East Coast.
Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Are Fred's Remnants Making a Comeback?
September 21st, 2009
The remnants of the storm formerly known as Fred appear to be redeveloping into something worth monitoring. Located only about 400-500 miles east of the northern Florida East Coast, these remnants will eventually make landfall in the next day or so as they move at about 10 mph.
At this point it is unclear if these remnants will redevelop into an official depression or named storm; stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin Remains Calm
September 18th, 2009
After a few days of inactivity, it appears as if the tropics are showing signs of life again. The remnants of the storm formerly known as Fred are now located approximately 450 miles north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, but they are still not expected to redevelop as they continue to move west at 10 to 15 mph.
Otherwise, there is an area of disturbed weather approximately 1000 miles west of the southern Cape Verde Islands that appears to be getting better organized as it moves west-northwest at about 10 mph. There is better than average chance that this disturbance will develop into a named storm over the next few days. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Atlantic Basin is Quiet
September 17th, 2009
The Atlantic Basin is very quiet today, and it appears that this inactivity will continue for the next few days. After a flurry of activity at the end of August and beginning of September, the tropics have really calmed down the past week. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Weak Disturbances Clutter Atlantic Basin
September 16th, 2009
The tropics are still relatively quiet today; there is nothing in the Atlantic Basin that is of great concern to anyone right now. However, there are multiple areas of disturbed weather being monitored for possible, yet unlikely, development. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropics are Quiet
September 15th, 2009
This morning, the radar shows the tropics are relatively calm. There are a couple areas of disturbed weather to keep an eye on, but nothing that poses any serious threat to anyone at this time. The first area involves what is left of the storm formerly known as Fred. While there is still some convection flaring up from this disturbance, redevelopment is not projected.
The other area of disturbed weather to monitor is a tropical wave located just west of the Cape Verde Islands. This area appears to be gaining convection, but development is not expected to occur just yet as it moves in a westerly direction.
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September Usually Busiest Month of Hurricane Season
September 14th, 2009
While the tropics are fairly quiet today, it is important for everyone to understand that we are in the thick of the hurricane season. The official peak date of hurricane season is September 10th.
The graphic above shows the historic origins and paths taken by named storms in the month of September. Stay tuned for more.
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Fred's Remnants not Expected to Develop
September 14th, 2009
Fred's remnants are barely discernable as they move in a west-northwest direction between 10 and 15 mph. While a counter-clockwise circulation is still present, redevelopment is not expected due to unfavorable conditions.
Otherwise, the tropics are very quiet. Stay tuned for more udpates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Hurricane Fred Weakens; Weakening Expected to Continue
September 10th, 2009
Hurricane Fred is now a Category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. Fred is moving northwest at about 12 mph and will continue to weaken as he continues to move in this general direction.
As Fred weakens to a remnant low over the next few days, the system is projected to eventually make a turn to the west. Redevelopment is not projected at this time.
Elsewhere, there is an area of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico that is expected to move north-northeast and bring a significant amount of tropical moisture this weekend to areas of the western and northern Gulf Coast, especially southeast Louisiana. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Fred now a Major Hurricane
September 9th, 2009
Fred quickly strengthened overnight and is now a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph. Fred is moving west-northwest at 13 mph and is expected to eventually make a turn to the north, avoiding all land masses.
Although Fred is now a very powerful storm, significant weakening is projected once he makes that projected turn to the north. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Fred Projected to Stregthen
September 8th, 2009
Tropical Storm Fred--located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands--is moving west-northwest at approximately 15 mph. Fred is expected to strengthen to a strong tropical storm and/or a weak hurricane, but Fred is expected to avoid any land, taking a sharp turn to the North over the next couple days.
Otherwise, the tropics in the Atlantic Basin are pretty quiet. There is an area of low pressure located just off the coast of North Carolina, but development is not likely as it moves north. Also, there is an area of stormy weather over the Bay of Campeche in the southwestern part of the Gulf of Mexico, but no imminent development is expected. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Erika now a Remnant Low; Tropics Relatively Quiet today
September 4th, 2009
The storm formerly known as Erika is now just an area of low pressure as it continues to drift in a westerly direction. This area of convection is expected to finally start moving in a northwesterly direction today and eventually north, paralleling the U.S. coast.
Elsewhere in the tropics, the latest tropical wave to come off the west coast of Africa is located just south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and is expected to track west-northwest. This area could become our next named storm next week. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Erika likely to be Downgraded to Tropical Depression
September 3rd, 2009
Tropical Storm Erika continues to fight strong wind shear, keeping her very weak and disorganized. Maximum sustained winds are at a meager 40 mph as the system moves west-northwest at 7 mph.
Erika is expected to weaken to a tropical depression today and--other than bringing some heavy downpours and gusty winds to some of the islands in the northeastern Caribbean Sea--will likely become a complete non-factor. She is eventually expected to make a turn to the northwest as she peters out.
Elsewhere, there is a new tropical wave off the coast of Africa worth monitoring over the next week as it makes its way across the Atlantic. Stay tuned for more udpates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Uncertainty Clouds Projected Track of Tropical Storm Erika
September 2nd, 2009
Tropical Storm Erika continues its trend of unpredictability: after gaining some strength last night, the storm has weakened back to a storm with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. Moreover, Erika, now moving at a snail-like pace of 7 mph to the west, is forecast by most models to make a turn more to the northwest, but this has been forecast for the past few days, and the storm has yet to make that turn.
Keep a vigilant eye on this storm because there are a couple forecast models that have Erika continuing its westward track into the Gulf of Mexico. It is clear that forecasters are having troubling determining Erika's future. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Erika Forms near Leeward Islands
September 1st, 2009
Tropical Storm Erika has officially formed to the east of the Northern Leeward Islands. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 50 mph as the system continues to move in a west-northwest direction at a slow 9 mph.
Erika could strengthen, but because the storm is encountering strong wind shear, do not expect much strengthening in the near future.
There is still great uncertainty as to where this system will track. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Disturbance Could be Upgraded Today
September 1st, 2009
The disturbance we have been watching the past few days gained considerable convection and became better organized overnight. Hurricane hunters will be flying into this storm today, and if a low-level circulation is found along with strong enough winds, this system could be upgraded to tropical depression or tropical storm status.
The system is still moving west-northwest at about 10 mph, and there is still great uncertainty as to where this system will track. Some models track the storm more towards the north; some models have the storm moving in a more westerly direction.
Otherwise, worth mentioning is Hurricane Jimena's approaching landfall on the Baja California Peninsula as a near Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds at 155 mph. The storm will probably weaken some before reaching the peninsula, but Jimena will still make landfall as a powerful storm. Stay tuned for more updates.
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All Eyes on Disturbance in Atlantic; Could Enter Gulf of Mexico
August 31st, 2009
The Atlantic Ocean's flurry of activity appears to be continuing as we approach the average peak of hurricane season. While there are no major storms to discuss, there is a healthy area of disturbed weather that appears to be becoming pretty well organized and could develop into a named storm in the next 24-72 hours. The next named storm will be Erika.
The disturbed area (circled above) is moving west-northwest at 15 mph and needs to be monitored very closely; there is a bit of uncertainty as to where this disturbance is headed.
Some models have this system moving towards the Gulf of Mexico; others have it moving in a more northwesterly direction toward the U.S. East Coast. Additionally, because it is still very far away from any land, there is plenty of time for this system to strengthen. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Danny Weakens; Disturbance in far Atlantic Likely to Develop
August 28th, 2009
Due to unfavorable conditions that developed yesterday, Tropical Storm Danny is barely hanging on to its tropical storm status with maximum sustained winds at 40 mph. Danny is moving north-northwest at about 9 mph and will eventually take a turn towards the north-northeast. Re-strengthening is possible, but this window of opportunity will only likely be open for Danny over the next twenty-four hours. Although parts of the U.S. eastern seaboard could see some rain and wind from Danny, it appears as if Halifax, Nova Scotia will feel the worst effects of the storm.
Otherwise, keep an eye on the disturbance in the far Atlantic. There is a bit of uncertainty on where this system will go. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team as this system could be upgraded soon.
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Tropical Storm Danny Slowly Strengthening; Keep Close Eye on New Disturbance
August 27th, 2009
Tropical Storm Danny is slowly becoming better organized as it continues its current northwest track at a pretty slow pace of about 10 mph. Danny's maximum sustained winds are now at 60 mph; the storm is currently located a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas.
Elsewhere in the tropics, the latest tropical wave to come off the west coast of Africa is expected to track in a westerly direction over the next couple days. This system needs to be watched closely as it could eventually end up in the Carribbean Sea and/or Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropical Storm Danny Forms; Expected to Strengthen
August 26th, 2009
Tropical Storm Danny has officially formed. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 45 mph as the system is moving west-northwest at 18 mph.
Danny is expected to take a path very similar to Hurricane Bill's path last week; however, Danny could track a little farther west, posing a slight threat to immediate coastal areas anywhere north of North Carolina. Stay tuned for more.
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Disturbance Likely to be Upgraded Today
August 26th, 2009
The latest disturbance we are currently focused on could be upgraded to a tropical storm today. The storm's name would be Danny.
It is currently being investigated by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft. The storm became better organized overnight last night, and if the hurricane hunter finds winds greater than 39 mph, the disturbance will likely be immediately upgraded to a tropical storm. Stay tuned for more.
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World's Ocean-Temperatures at All-Time High
August 24th, 2009
One worrisome fact regarding this year's tropical conditions revolves around the world's current record-high ocean temperatures. Here is an informative article written by Seth Borenstein of the Associated Press discussing this issue.
The image above is an image of Tropical Storm Bill off the northeast coast of Saint Pierre and Miquelon, a small group of islands in the North Atlantic Ocean off the northeast coast of Canada.
While it does not look like much of anything to talk about, the fact that Bill is still an organized storm at such a high latitude of the Northern Hemisphere is a prime example of how the record warm waters could be fueling tropical systems that much more.
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Bill out of Picture; New Disturbance to Watch
August 24th, 2009
Hurricane Bill (now officially a tropical storm) is no longer a story as the once-powerful storm moved North and East this past weekend, first brushing the west coast of Bermuda and then side-swiping the east coast of New England and Nova Scotia.
At this point the tropics are relatively calm, but there is a disturbance to the east/northeast of the Leeward Islands that is worth watching. This area is moving west/northwest at 20-25 mph and could develop into something over the next couple days as it feeds off the warm waters of the tropical Atlantic.
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Hurricane Bill Weakens
August 20th, 2009
While still a powerful Category 3 storm, Hurricane Bill appears to be losing some strength as it continues its northwesterly trek. Maximum sustained winds are now at 115 mph, and the eye of the storm is no longer well-defined. Bill's projected path has not changed much and is still expected to track between the U.S. east coast and Bermuda.
Otherwise, keep an eye on a couple areas of disturbed weather coming off the west coast of Africa. Stay tuned for more.
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2009 Hurricane Season Epitome of Unpredictability
August 20th, 2009
After going nearly two and a half months without a named storm to begin the 2009 hurricane season (one of the latest starts in the history of recorded hurricane seasons), thanks to the development of three named storms over the past week, we are now having an above average hurricane season!
The unusuality of this year's hurricane season goes to show how imperative it is to have a hurricane-preparedness plan at all times.
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Hurricane Bill Weakens to Category 3 Storm; Reintensification Expected
August 20th, 2009
Hurricane Bill has weakened to a Category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph; however, Bill is expected to regain Category 4 status over the next twenty-four hours and continue its northwesterly path.
While most of the U.S. east coast should only be affected by large waves and dangerous rip currents caused by Bill's presence, parts of New England could feel the effects of Bill's wind and rain as the storm appears to be headed near the general area of Halifax, Nova Scotia.
Otherwise, the remnants of Ana have completely dissipated and are no longer a threat to the U.S. mainland. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Bill now a Major Hurricane
August 19th, 2009
Hurricane Bill is now a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds at 135 mph as it continues to move in a west-northwest direction. This storm is still expected to take a northerly turn and completely avoid the U.S. mainland.
In other Atlantic Basin tropical news, what is left of Ana is moving into the Gulf today and could bring rain and wind to some southeastern U.S. states over the next couple days. Although not very likely to happen, the Gulf's warm waters could spawn the redevelopment of this system.
Finally, keep an eye on the tropical wave coming off the west coast of Africa. This could be our next named storm. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Hurricane Bill Growing into Major hurricane; Remnants of Ana Move towards Gulf of Mexico
August 18th, 2009
All eyes are now on Hurricane Bill as it continues to advance in a west-northwest direction. Currently a Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph, Bill is expected to become at least a Category 3 storm in the next day or so. Despite it's projected status as a major hurricane, Bill is still forecast to take a northerly turn and avoid the U.S. mainland.
In other news the remnants of Tropical Storm Ana are bringing heavy rains and gusty winds to parts of Cuba, Haiti, and the Bahamas as that area of low pressure continues to move towards the Gulf of Mexico. It will be interesting to see whether or not these remnants regenerate into a tropical cyclone once over the Gulf's warm waters.
Finally, keep an eye on the latest tropical wave coming off the west coast of Africa; this could be our next named storm. Stay tuned for more updates from your Bellwether Hurricane Team.
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Tropics are Bustling
August 17th, 2009
This weekend finally provided us with our first named storm of the Atlantic Basin's 2009 hurricane season; in fact, three named storms developed in the span of about thirty-six hours.
First, Tropical Depression 2 finally developed into Tropical Storm Ana, but the storm has again weakened back to tropical depression status as it is bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to Puerto Rico and its surrounding islands this morning. Despite the system's lack of strength and organization, this area needs to be monitored closely as it heads towards the Gulf of Mexico, where it could reintensify over the Gulf's warm waters.
Next, the large disturbance behind Ana (that we discussed last week) quickly developed into Tropical Storm Bill over the weekend and has since been upgraded to a Category One hurricane, our first official hurricane of the 2009 season. Expected to strengthen and become a major hurricane, Hurricane Bill is not expected to threaten the U.S. mainland (other than rough surf along the East Coast) as all forecast models have the system turning north, possibly affecting Bermuda.
Finally, a tropical wave that crossed the Atlantic Ocean last week and moved into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend -- while never expected to develop into anything -- quickly formed late Saturday/early Sunday into Tropical Storm Claudette and made landfall around midnight last night just to the southeast of Fort Walton Beach, Florida. Now a weak tropical depression, Claudette will bring heavy rain and gusty winds to parts of the Florida panhandle, Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, and Louisiana.
Stay tuned for more updates as we continue to monitor the tropics.
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Tropical Depression 2 Fighting to Stay Alive; Disturbance Behind it Expected to Intensify
August 14th, 2009
Tropical Depression 2 has regained some of its convection and still has a chance to develop into a tropical cyclone; however, this is not the system of great concern to us. Behind it is a large area of disturbed weather that is expected to intensify over the next few days. This is the system that needs to be watched closely.
Forecast models have this area developing into a tropical storm and hurricane as it continues to move west, and, while it is over three thousands miles away from the U.S. mainland, there are already a couple models predicting this area will affect Florida. Stay tuned for more.
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How Unusual is the Lack of Activity of the 2009 Hurricane Season?
August 14th, 2009
One interesting tidbit about this year's hurricane season is its unusually late start. We are nearly two and a half months into the 2009 season, and we have yet to see one named storm in the Atlantic Basin.
As shown in the image above (provided by weather.com), there have only been seven later starts to hurricane seasons since 1950. However, this run of inactivity is expected to come to an end in the near future.
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Dry Air Hindering Development of Tropical Depression 2
August 13th, 2009
Tropical Depression 2 has lost much of its convection (due to dry air from the North) and at this point looks very weak and disorganized. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 30 mph as it continue to move west.
While forecast models still project this system to become the first named storm of the season, the disturbance to especially keep an eye on is the one behind TD 2. Forecast models are predicting this area of low pressure to develop into a tropical storm and then possibly into a hurricane by the beginning of next week. Stay tuned.
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Tropical Depression 2 Gains Strength
August 12th, 2009
As it continues to churn in a westerly direction, Tropical Depression 2 has clearly become a little more organized over the past twenty-four hours. Maximum sustained winds are now at 35 mph. Today, this system should become Ana, the first named storm of the season.
While we need to keep an eye on this system, there is another area of disturbed weather following virtually the same path that may be of greater concern to us down the line. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropical Depression 2 Forms over Atlantic
August 11th, 2009
Tropical Depression 2 formed this morning a couple hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. As it moves in a westerly direction with maximum sustained winds at 30 mph, this system is expected to develop into the first named storm of the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season. Stay tuned for more updates.
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Tropics Showing Signs of Life
August 10th, 2009
Nearly halfway through the month of August, we have yet to see one named tropical system develop this hurricane season. However, this inactivity is expected to end in the next week or so.
As shown in the image above (provided by weather.com), there is an area of low pressure off the coast of Africa that is being carefully watched for development, and there are several others behind that one expected to take the same path over the Atlantic. Stay tuned.
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Atlantic Basin Remains Quiet
August 7th, 2009
Just when it looked as if something might develop in the Atlantic earlier this week, it now appears as if this season's lull in activity will at least continue throughout this upcoming weekend.
Conditions in the Atlantic Basin remain unfavorable for any tropical development, mainly due to conditions caused by the phenomena known as El Nino.
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Disturbance Worth Watching in Atlantic
August 4th, 2009
June and July have passed us, and we have yet to see one named storm in the Atlantic basin this year. It appears though that this period of inactivity may be coming to an end.
In the far east Atlantic Ocean, there is an area of low pressure moving west that is being closely monitored for development. This could be our first named storm of the 2009 hurricane season, so stay tuned for future updates.
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First Signs of Activity in the Atlantic Basin
July 22nd, 2009
Nearly two months into the 2009 Hurricane Season, we finally have some activity in the tropics. A weak tropical wave moved across Puerto Rico last night and is now brushing the coast of the Bahamas as it moves West-Northwest.
This disturbance is expected to quickly move North over the next few days, bringing the possibility of rain and gusty winds to the East Coast.
Visit our disaster recovery page to see how Bellwether can help your organization withstand any scenario.
Tropics Eerily Calm
July 6th, 2009
One month through the 2009 hurricane season, we have yet to have one named storm in the Atlantic Basin.
As anyone from the Gulf Coast knows, the real threat of tropical systems usually comes from around mid-August to mid-October, so this is not the time to relax. Stay tuned for more.
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Halfway through Month of June, Tropics Remain Quiet
June 15th, 2009
After signs of unusually early activity in the tropics a few weeks ago, the areas in the tropics where storms typically form in June are completely quiet, and there are no threats in our foreseeable future. Stay tuned for more.
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First Tropical Depression of the Year Forms off U.S. East Coast
May 28th, 2009
Hurricane season has not even officially started, and we already have our first tropical depression of the year. The storm formed off the mid-Atlantic coast, but it poses no threat to land as it is forecast to move east-northeast.
The depression's maximum sustained winds are at 35 mph, and the system is expected to turn into a tropical storm over the next couple days.
While this is no cause for concern to anyone on the continental U.S., this is definitely a wake-up call for everyone living in hurricane-prone areas. If you are not already prepared for this year's season, now is the time to get your plan in order.
Visit our disaster recovery page to see how Bellwether can help your organization withstand any scenario.
